Patriot Missile Systems: Empirical Performance Data (2020-2025)

Patriot missile systems experienced extensive combat deployment and testing from 2020-2025, providing unprecedented empirical data on system performance. The most significant finding is the confirmed intercept of Russian Kinzhal hypersonic missiles in Ukraine (May 2023), marking the first verified hypersonic missile intercept by any air defense system. However, performance data reveals substantial gaps between manufacturer claims and independently verified results, with success rates varying dramatically by threat type and operational conditions. Continue reading Patriot Missile Systems: Empirical Performance Data (2020-2025)

Natten da ørkenen sto i brann

Mandag kveld var Al Udeid-basen i Qatar uvanlig stille. De fleste soldatene var allerede sendt bort. Flyene var fløyet ut. Bare noen få var igjen – 44 unge amerikanere og to luftvernstillinger med Patriot-raketter. Ørkenen rundt dem lå badet i kveldssola. De visste at noe var i gjære. USA hadde nettopp gjennomført et angrep mot iranske mål. Nå ventet alle på svaret. Og de som … Continue reading Natten da ørkenen sto i brann

The Drone Defense Economics Crisis: When $3M Missiles Target $38K Drones

The fundamental economics of drone warfare have created an unsustainable cost asymmetry that threatens traditional air defense models. Ukraine’s combat data reveals that drones account for 70% of combat casualties, while mass-produced attack drones cost as little as $20,000-38,000 each. Meanwhile, defenders face the reality of using interceptors costing 100 to 3,000 times more than the threats they engage. This economic warfare dynamic is driving revolutionary changes in air defense strategy, from AI-enabled autonomous systems to directed energy weapons that promise near-zero cost per engagement. Continue reading The Drone Defense Economics Crisis: When $3M Missiles Target $38K Drones

The Nordic Norm of Ground-Based Air Defenses: Mass, Mix, Maneuver, and Integration

The Nordic region—Sweden, Finland, Norway, and Denmark—has rapidly modernized and expanded its ground-based air defense (GBAD) capabilities in response to heightened security concerns, especially following Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine and the subsequent accession of Finland and Sweden to NATO. Using the mass, mix, maneuver, and integration framework, this article evaluates how these countries’ GBADs collectively fare, with a focus on Sweden’s latest acquisition of German IRIS-T SLM systems. Continue reading The Nordic Norm of Ground-Based Air Defenses: Mass, Mix, Maneuver, and Integration

THAAD and ARROW vs. PATRIOT and SAMP/T

The world’s most sophisticated missile defense systems tell a story that extends far beyond their technical specifications. THAAD, Arrow, PATRIOT, and SAMP/T represent four distinct approaches to the same existential challenge: how to defend against increasingly sophisticated missile threats while navigating the complex realities of alliance politics, industrial sovereignty, and strategic deterrence. Continue reading THAAD and ARROW vs. PATRIOT and SAMP/T

Sky Sabre Air Defense System

Britain’s SkySabre air defense system represents a quantum leap in protecting airspace against modern threats, replacing Cold War-era technology with a sophisticated network capable of simultaneously engaging two dozen targets at supersonic speeds. This advanced ground-based system has already proven its worth in NATO deployments and secured the largest defense export contract in UK history, positioning Britain as a leader in medium-range air defense technology. Continue reading Sky Sabre Air Defense System

European views on the Potential for Conventional War and the Need for Ground Based Air Defenses, 2000–2025

Eastern European countries saw the Russian threat coming and consistently documented this in official documents from the early 2000s. Western European powers were overly optimistic and had to dramatically correct course, first in 2014 and then sharply in 2022. Continue reading European views on the Potential for Conventional War and the Need for Ground Based Air Defenses, 2000–2025

Europeiske NATO-staters dokumenterte synspunkter på potensialet for konvensjonell krig og behovet for luftvern i perioden 2000-2025

Østeuropeiske allierte hadde rett om Russland hele tiden. Vesteuropeere våknet først i 2014, og mange ikke før 2022.  Kort oppsummert: Østeuropeiske land så den russiske trusselen komme og dokumenterte dette konsekvent gjennom offisielle dokumenter fra tidlig 2000-tall. Vesteuropeiske makter var for optimistiske og måtte korrigere kursen dramatisk, først i 2014 og deretter kraftig i 2022. Bakkebasert luftvern gikk fra å være en nedprioritert kapabilitet til … Continue reading Europeiske NATO-staters dokumenterte synspunkter på potensialet for konvensjonell krig og behovet for luftvern i perioden 2000-2025